Ceylon Data Strategy
SLEPISri Lanka External Pressure Index
Sri Lanka External Pressure Index
-0.36
Calm

External conditions are broadly neutral, with conditions deteriorating this month — strong remittance and tourism inflows.

▲ 0.27 vs previous monthLatest: Feb 2026
Sri Lanka
SLEPIThe pressure on the Sri Lankan economy in real-time
AcuteElevatedNeutralSupportiveCurrent month
USD / LKR
309.36▼ 0.29
Spot rate — higher = weaker Rupee
Import cover
3.77▲ 0.19
Months of imports covered
Current account
117▼ 252.49
USD mn — negative = deficit
Buffer inflows
1,081▼ 48.43
USD mn — remittances + tourism
Index components

The SLEPI score is the equal-weighted average of four standardised component scores (z-scores). Positive values → pressure. Negative values → support. Month-on-month changes are shown alongside each score.

ComponentLatest readingContribution ← neutral →Z-score / MoM
Import coveriGross official reserves divided by monthly imports. Higher coverage means the central bank can sustain more months of imports — reducing external pressure.
3.77 momonths of gross reserve cover
-0.07▼ 0.13
FX market pressureiMonth-on-month change in the USD/LKR exchange rate. Positive values indicate Rupee depreciation, adding to external pressure.
-0.1%month-on-month USD/LKR change
-0.22▼ 0.10
External balanceiCurrent account deficit as a share of GDP, net of remittances and tourism. Captures the underlying external financing gap after buffer inflows.
52.6%current account / GDP, net of buffers
+0.17▲ 0.95
Buffer inflow supportiRemittances plus tourism earnings as a share of GDP. Strong inflows from these sources reduce pressure by providing a steady foreign exchange buffer.
58.9%remittances + tourism / GDP
-1.33▲ 0.36
24-month component history

Each line shows a component's standardised score over time. Use the toggles to isolate individual drivers. Coloured bands mark the same pressure zones as the index chart above.

AcuteElevatedNeutralSupportiveStandardised score (z)-2-10+1+2Dec 23Aug 24Apr 25Nov 25
Advanced statsValidation, freshness, and pipeline status
Validation

Backtest

AUC — top 15% stress
0.547
3-month correlation
0.214
Crisis peak
Apr 2022
Proxy overlap
38 months
Freshness

Data availability

Data sourceObject storagehttps://pub-501dbf8d93d44b3daaabdd91e657d8ac.r2.dev/slepi/snapshot.json
Latest complete indexFeb 2026
FXApr 2026
Current accountFeb 2026
ReservesFeb 2026
ImportsFeb 2026

Next window (Mar 2026) pending: import_cover, current_account, buffer_inflows.

Pipeline last checked CBSL on Apr 23, 2026, 11:15 AM.